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Why COVID-19 is Not Raging in the Central African Republic

Photo: UN/MINUSCA – Francois Gombahi

The Central African Republic is near the bottom of every major economic or development indicator. It is also a country that is emerging from civil war. 

Despite these challenges, the COVID-19 pandemic is not raging out of control in CAR. This is in part due to the work of Dr. Marie Roseline Belizaire, a Haitian epidemiologist with the World Health Organization who was deployed to the Central African Republic early in the pandemic to assist the country with COVID -19 preparedness and response plan. 

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Are the US and China Destined for War? | Graham Allison

My guest today, Graham Allison, is a legendary scholar of international relations. The last time we spoke was just after the release of his 2017 book Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides’s Trap? The book examined over a dozen historic cases in which global power shifts resulted in wars, and a few cases in which it did not.  The book makes a compelling case, that war between the US as established power and China as the rising power –while not inevitable– is far more likely than we might think. 

I wanted to re-connect with Graham Allison to see if he thinks world events are confirming or refuting his thesis. This includes the role of this pandemic in shaping trends that might lead to war.

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Three years ago we had a long conversation about his life and career, this included the story behind his writing of “The Essence of Decision” in 1971. The book used the Cuban Missile Crisis as a case study to understand how organizations and governments make decisions — sometimes very bad ones.

That conversation is now available for premium subscribers. 

https://www.patreon.com/GlobalDispatches

Lebanon is in the Midst of a Jaw-Dropping Economic Crisis

Lebanon is in the midst of an economic free fall, the degree to which is jaw dropping. 

Inflation is out of control, commodities are hard to come by, and its currency is devaluing at a rapid clip. This all was happening months before the coronavirus pandemic. Now, in the midst of the pandemic, a deteriorating economic situation is poised to turn into a major political and social crisis.

This is arguably the worst crisis since Lebanon emerged from a 15 year civil war in 1990.

The government of Lebanon signaled that it would seek a bailout from the International Monetary Fund. But IMF loans come with conditions and as my guest today Maha Yahya explains, it is entirely unclear right now whether or not the government would be able to accept the kinds of conditions required for an IMF bailout. 

Maha Yahya is the director of the Carnegie Middle East Center and I caught up with her from Beirut. We kick off discussing the roots of this economic crisis, which she explains can be traced to the political arrangements that ended the civil war 30 years ago. We then have a broad conversation about the impact this economic crisis is having in a country that is already fragile.  

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The Geopolitics of COVID-19 | With Ian Bremmer

Even before the coronavirus pandemic, the world order was undergoing some profound shifts. China was rising. The USA, under the Trump administration was abdicating its traditional role as a global leader, and global institutions were seemingly getting weaker. So how does the COVID-19 pandemic layer on top of these trends?

Ian Bremmer is the President of the Eurasia Group and GZero Media. He explains how and why the COVID-19 pandemic is impacting great power politics and geopolitical shifts.

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A View From Congress, With Representative Ami Bera

Congressman Ami Bera

Congressman Ami Bera is a Democrat from California who serves on the House Foreign Affairs Committee and is chair of the subcommittee on Asia and Pacific.

He is also a medical doctor who has long championed global health issues. Last November he served on a commission on pandemic preparedness convened by the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, DC that issued a series of recommendations that today looks rather prescient.  

We spoke just a day after President Trump announced that the United States was freezing funding for the World Health Organization and needless to say Congressman Bera strongly disagrees with that move. And it’s his reasoning I think that is most instructive.  He does a really good job of explaining why preventing clusters of COVID-19 from taking hold in poorer countries is required for securing the US homeland, and how the WHO is critical to that effort. 

We cover other ground too, including what the trajectory of the outbreak looks like here in the United States, and how that trajectory might shape US politics and foreign policy.

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Governments Around the World Are Using COVID-19 as a Pretext to Crack Down on Human Rights

There is a coronavirus human rights crackdown. Regimes around the world are using the pandemic as a pretext to erode civil liberties and trample human rights to further entrench themselves in power.

Philippe Bolopion, deputy director for advocacy at Human Rights Watch explains how the pandemic is impacting human rights around the world.

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What Political Science Can Teach Us About How Different Countries Are Handling COVID-19

Incheon airport in South Korea / Jens-Olaf Walter via Flickr CC license

What explains why some countries are responding to the coronavirus more effectively than others? One branch of political science, called comparative politics, offers a useful lens to understand how differences between countries are affecting governments’ response to the COVID-19 Pandemic

Sofia Fenner is an assistant professor of political science at Bryn Mawr College in Pennsylvania who explains what comparative politics and political science can teach us about how governments are responding to this crisis.

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How a Large Global Humanitarian Organization is Responding to the Coronavirus Pandemic

Credit: CARE Philippines

Even before the COVID-19 pandemic, international non-governmental organizations were stretched thin responding to crises in Yemen, Syria, Bangladesh, and South Sudan and natural disasters around the world. With the coronavirus pandemic layered on top of these existing emergencies, how are humanitarian relief organizations responding, preparing and adapting? I put this question to Susannah Friedman, Humanitarian Policy Director for CARE, which is one of the larger global humanitarian organizations, with a staff of over 6,000 in more than 100 countries.  In this conversation she explains how the coronavirus is impacting CAREs work, and how CARE is adapting to it. This in includes an extended conversation about the unique affect this outbreak is having on women and girls in vulnerable situations.

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Huge Swarms of Desert Locusts Are Causing a Crisis in East Africa

: ©FAO/Sven Torfinn. Editorial use only. Copyright FAO
Desert Locust Swarm ©FAO/Sven Torfinn. Editorial use only. Copyright FAO

Desert locusts are eating their way through east Africa and leaving a huge food security crisis in their wake. Desert locusts are migratory pests. One swarm one square kilometer in size could eat as much food in a day as 35,000 people. And in many places in East Africa, the swarms today are far larger than that. Ethiopia and Somalia are experiencing their worst desert locust situation in 25 years. Kenya is experiencing its worst locust crisis in 70 years.

Keith Cressman is the senior desert locust forecasting officer at the UN Food and Agriculture Organization. He explains why we are seeing this historic upsurge in desert locusts in East Africa, their impact on the lives and livelihoods of people in this region, and what can be done to control the swarms and mitigate their impact. 

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The Coronavirus Pandemic and Its Effect on Low Income Countries and Global Development

The COVID19 pandemic will have major implications for international development. This includes in countries where organizations like the World Bank and other global development institutions have made major investments in the past decade. Amanda Glassman, senior fellow and executive vice president of the Center for Global Development explains the consequences of the coronavirus pandemic to low income countries, and what organizations like the World Bank can do to help mitigate this crisis.

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